Mantes vs Concarneau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AVR
2 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 2
LAV
31%
28%
41%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
PON
1 - 0
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 1
LES
37%
27%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
AUB
2 - 1
MAN
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CON
0 - 1
LOR
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
PAC
2 - 0
CON
74%
19%
8%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CON
2 - 2
CAE
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 2
CON
67%
22%
12%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
GUI
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |