Serie B Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Manta vs Orense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
INJ
2 - 1
MAN
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 3
GUA
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
LDU
2 - 1
MAN
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
ORE
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
LOJ
2 - 1
MAN
21%
27%
52%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Orense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
LDU
1 - 1
ORE
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ORE
2 - 1
POR
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ORE
1 - 0
LOJ
72%
19%
9%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
ORE
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ORE
3 - 2
PQU
61%
24%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |