Manta vs Independiente Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
6º
3º
52
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 63 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 50 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 32 |
10º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 91.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
CUE
34%
27%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CUN
6 - 2
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 2
RIV
42%
28%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
OCT
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ECS
0 - 1
MAN
6%
13%
81%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 1
CUN
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
INJ
26%
30%
44%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CG7
0 - 2
INJ
4%
11%
84%
|
75 | 7 | 68 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 0
LFC
68%
22%
10%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | +1 |