Manta vs Imbabura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
7º
4º
58
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 1
MAN
38%
30%
33%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAC
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
INJ
0 - 0
MAN
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
CSV
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAN
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 1
GUA
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 2
CUN
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 1
IMB
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 1
OCT
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
INJ
0 - 0
IMB
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |