Manta vs Gualaceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
4º
43
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 59 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 34 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
42.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 31 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
8% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
MAN
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
LFC
3 - 0
MAN
23%
28%
49%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
CSV
57%
26%
18%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAN
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
INJ
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
LFC
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 0
GUA
30%
29%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
OCT
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
INJ
3 - 2
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
CUN
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |