Manta vs Gualaceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
IMB
0 - 2
MAN
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
3 - 1
IMB
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAN
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
COL
1 - 1
MAN
44%
28%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 0
OLM
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
OLM
53%
25%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
OLM
0 - 1
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAN
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
TEC
2 - 1
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
AUC
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |