Manta vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 2
DEP
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
EME
1 - 0
MAN
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MAN
4 - 0
NAC
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LIG
2 - 0
MAN
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 1
CUE
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 1
LIG
53%
27%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
CUE
2 - 2
QUI
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 2
UCE
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 2
QUI
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 0
BSC
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |