Manta vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
41.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
OLM
2 - 1
MAN
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 0
BSC
38%
30%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
IMB
0 - 1
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
LIG
30%
30%
41%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
IVT
0 - 0
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
LIG
0 - 1
QUI
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
EME
0 - 0
QUI
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 1
CUE
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 3
QUI
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |