Manta vs Deportivo Quevedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
EME
1 - 0
MAN
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MAN
4 - 0
NAC
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LIG
2 - 0
MAN
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 1
CUE
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
UCE
3 - 1
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Quevedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 0
DEP
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 1
EME
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
LIG
29%
30%
41%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CUE
1 - 1
DEP
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |