Manta vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
4º
29
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 64 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 62 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 59 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
53.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
88% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 34 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 31 |
10º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 42% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAN
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
INJ
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 3
MAN
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
OCT
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 3
MAN
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
LFC
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
CHA
34%
30%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 1
CSV
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
CSV
45%
28%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 1
AME
28%
28%
43%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |