Manta vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
40.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
7º
4º
64
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
INJ
0 - 0
MAN
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
CSV
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAN
34%
29%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
AME
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
GUA
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
MAC
22%
27%
51%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
CUN
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
MAC
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
CSV
63%
23%
14%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
INJ
1 - 0
MAC
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |