Manta vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
EME
4 - 1
MAN
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
IVT
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
IVT
3 - 0
MAN
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 2
BSC
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 0
MAN
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
BSC
0 - 0
MAC
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 0
EME
28%
27%
46%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 1
MAC
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 0
MAN
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |