Manta vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LIG
1 - 0
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MAN
4 - 1
QUI
29%
29%
42%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
BSC
0 - 0
MAN
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MAN
4 - 0
TEC
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
EME
1 - 0
MAN
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
IVT
0 - 1
LOJ
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LOJ
1 - 0
IVT
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 1
IVT
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
IVT
1 - 0
CUE
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 2
IVT
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |