Manta vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 1
OLM
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
EME
4 - 1
MAN
63%
23%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
UCE
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
IVT
1 - 0
MAN
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 0
CUE
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 4
IVT
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CUE
1 - 2
NAC
39%
30%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
QUI
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MUS
0 - 1
NAC
40%
30%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
BSC
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |