Manta vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 0
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
MAN
3 - 0
QUI
41%
30%
29%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
EME
3 - 3
MAN
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 0
OLM
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
IVT
1 - 0
MAN
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAC
55%
24%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 3
CUE
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
ESP
5 - 3
NAC
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 2
UCE
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIG
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |