Manta vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
4º
43
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 64 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 62 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 59 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
53.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
88% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 34 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 31 |
10º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ECS
0 - 1
MAN
6%
13%
81%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
ESA
3 - 4
MAN
26%
29%
45%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
CUN
39%
30%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAN
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
RIV
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 0
CSV
57%
26%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 0
OCT
49%
25%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
OCT
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 1
ESA
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CUN
3 - 1
OCT
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |