Mansfield Town vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
NOT
0 - 0
MAN
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
BCF
2 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 2
GRI
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 2
MAN
61%
23%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
HER
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
3 - 2
WRE
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
WRE
0 - 0
DAG
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
BRE
2 - 0
WRE
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
WRE
2 - 1
BCF
31%
29%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
WYC
2 - 1
WRE
57%
25%
18%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |