EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-1
Mansfield Town vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
BAR
3 - 3
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
CHE
2 - 2
MAN
54%
25%
22%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
MAN
2 - 2
PLY
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
NOR
1 - 0
MAN
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2000 |
MAN
0 - 1
SWA
34%
29%
37%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
BCF
1 - 4
WRE
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
WRE
0 - 2
BRI
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
WRE
1 - 0
GIL
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
WIG
0 - 1
WRE
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2000 |
WRE
1 - 0
COL
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |