FA Cup 1/128
Global 2-3
Mansfield Town vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CRA
0 - 2
MAN
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAN
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
HIS
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
EAS
1 - 2
MAN
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ALT
1 - 2
MAN
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ALT
2 - 2
FOR
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAN
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
EAS
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
HIS
5 - 2
FOR
65%
21%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 5
AFC
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |