Mansfield Town vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 0
TRA
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 0
MAN
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
OLD
0 - 3
MAN
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
MAN
3 - 0
SHE
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 1
ROT
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
DER
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DER
1 - 0
OXF
35%
26%
38%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 1
DER
12%
20%
68%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
DER
1 - 3
LEI
7%
17%
77%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
STE
1 - 0
DER
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |