Mansfield Town vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
MOR
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
WYC
2 - 1
MAN
44%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
EXE
1 - 2
MAN
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
NOT
2 - 0
MAN
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 2
BUR
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
STF
1 - 0
CUM
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CUM
0 - 3
BCF
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CUM
4 - 4
AFC
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
STA
1 - 3
CUM
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CAM
5 - 0
CUM
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |