Mansfield Town vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 1
MAN
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 3
SOU
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 1
GRI
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAN
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
WRE
1 - 3
MAN
45%
26%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
ALF
1 - 4
FLE
35%
25%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
3 - 0
ALF
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
ALF
1 - 3
LIN
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ALF
1 - 1
KET
70%
18%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GRI
5 - 2
ALF
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |