Le Mans vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
FCR
2 - 2
LMU
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 7
LMU
6%
12%
83%
|
65 | 26 | 39 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
LMU
2 - 1
VAL
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
NÎM
0 - 0
LMU
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
LMU
4 - 0
LOC
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
VAL
1 - 1
GOB
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
THL
2 - 2
VAL
15%
19%
67%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
LMU
2 - 1
VAL
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 3
NEU
80%
13%
7%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
QUE
2 - 0
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |