Le Mans vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SOC
2 - 1
LMU
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
LYO
2 - 0
LMU
71%
18%
12%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
LMU
0 - 2
AUX
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
REN
2 - 2
LMU
49%
24%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
LMU
2 - 0
ASN
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 1
ASN
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
AUX
0 - 0
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 0
REN
35%
30%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LHA
2 - 1
VAL
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 3
MAR
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |