Le Mans vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
LMU
3 - 0
ASN
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
ESW
2 - 1
LMU
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
LMU
1 - 0
NIO
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
ASS
0 - 0
LMU
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
IST
1 - 0
LMU
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
REI
2 - 0
VAL
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
VAL
0 - 1
TFC
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
IST
2 - 2
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
VAL
0 - 1
FCG
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
AMI
3 - 0
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |