Le Mans vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
DIJ
0 - 2
LMU
34%
28%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
LMU
2 - 0
MPL
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 3
LMU
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
LMU
3 - 0
SED
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2005 |
BRE
1 - 0
LMU
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
TRO
1 - 0
CLE
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2005 |
TRO
2 - 0
REI
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2005 |
LUS
0 - 1
TRO
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
AMI
3 - 2
TRO
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
TRO
1 - 1
NIO
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |