Le Mans vs Thouars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
USS
1 - 1
LMU
11%
20%
69%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LMU
1 - 2
STP
69%
20%
12%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 4
LMU
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LMU
1 - 0
LRO
76%
16%
7%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 1
LMU
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
THO
0 - 1
BRE
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 0
THO
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
THO
0 - 3
CHA
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
AVO
2 - 0
THO
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
THO
1 - 2
CHO
34%
28%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |