Le Mans vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
38.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
STL
1 - 2
LMU
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
LMU
2 - 0
VAL
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
CHA
2 - 2
LMU
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1996 |
LMU
0 - 1
CSL
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
TRO
1 - 1
LMU
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
ASS
2 - 0
CHA
69%
19%
11%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
FCM
0 - 0
ASS
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
ASS
3 - 0
SPI
79%
14%
6%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
PER
1 - 0
ASS
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
ASS
2 - 1
SPO
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |