Le Mans vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1995 |
MAR
3 - 1
LMU
86%
10%
4%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1995 |
LMU
0 - 2
MAR
10%
24%
67%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1995 |
OLY
0 - 0
LMU
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1995 |
LMU
0 - 1
ASN
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1995 |
SED
1 - 3
LMU
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1995 |
RED
0 - 0
SOC
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1995 |
FCG
2 - 0
RED
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1995 |
RED
0 - 2
ASB
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1995 |
VAL
2 - 2
RED
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1995 |
RED
2 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |