Le Mans vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
LYO
1 - 0
LMU
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
LMU
2 - 0
TRO
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
PLU
0 - 3
LMU
8%
19%
72%
|
82 | 9 | 73 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
GIR
1 - 0
LMU
53%
25%
21%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
SOC
1 - 2
LMU
53%
26%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
REN
0 - 2
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
CAM
1 - 4
MAR
8%
19%
73%
|
86 | 11 | 75 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 1
ASS
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ASN
2 - 0
MAR
34%
28%
38%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 1
MON
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |