Le Mans vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
21.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
NIC
3 - 3
LMU
44%
28%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
LMU
1 - 1
GIR
33%
30%
37%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2007 |
TFC
0 - 1
LMU
44%
27%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
LMU
1 - 1
NAN
47%
28%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
LYO
2 - 1
LMU
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2007 |
MET
1 - 2
FCG
60%
24%
16%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2007 |
STR
2 - 1
MET
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
MET
1 - 2
GRE
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 1
MET
37%
29%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
MET
1 - 0
LHA
55%
26%
20%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |