Le Mans vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
SOC
1 - 1
LMU
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
LMU
2 - 0
ASS
31%
30%
39%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
STL
1 - 2
LMU
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
LMU
2 - 0
VAL
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
CHA
2 - 2
LMU
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
LOR
0 - 0
SPI
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
FCM
3 - 1
LOR
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
LOR
2 - 1
SPO
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
FCG
1 - 0
LOR
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
LOR
0 - 0
PER
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |