Le Mans vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 2
LMU
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
LMU
1 - 0
LYO
22%
26%
53%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
PSG
0 - 0
LMU
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
GIR
1 - 0
LMU
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
LMU
1 - 0
MON
34%
28%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ASN
2 - 1
LEN
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
LEN
0 - 0
NIC
60%
24%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 4
LEN
37%
28%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
LEN
2 - 2
STR
60%
22%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 2
LEN
33%
29%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |