Le Mans vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ASS
2 - 0
LMU
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
LMU
0 - 0
ASN
41%
29%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
MON
2 - 1
LMU
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
LMU
2 - 2
SOC
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
TRO
1 - 2
LMU
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
SED
2 - 2
LEN
28%
28%
43%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ASN
2 - 1
LEN
33%
29%
38%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
LEN
3 - 1
ETH
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 0
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |