Le Mans vs Challans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LMU
0 - 0
BRE
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
STP
1 - 1
LMU
22%
25%
53%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LMU
1 - 0
CHA
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LMU
2 - 1
TOU
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
LMU
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
BOU
22%
22%
56%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LRO
0 - 0
CHA
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 2
USS
33%
25%
43%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LPS
0 - 0
CHA
80%
15%
6%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
STP
0 - 0
CHA
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |