Le Mans vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
MON
3 - 0
LMU
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
LMU
1 - 0
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SOC
2 - 1
LMU
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
LYO
2 - 0
LMU
71%
18%
12%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
LMU
0 - 2
AUX
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 0
AUX
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ASN
1 - 1
CAE
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 1
LHA
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
TFC
0 - 1
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 1
NIC
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |