Le Mans vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
VAL
2 - 2
LMU
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
LMU
2 - 1
LUS
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ASN
2 - 2
LMU
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
LMU
0 - 0
ESW
61%
24%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
NIO
1 - 1
LMU
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
CAE
0 - 0
ASS
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
IST
0 - 4
CAE
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
CAE
2 - 0
ASN
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
CAE
0 - 0
LOR
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
REI
1 - 2
CAE
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |