Le Mans vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 2
LMU
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LMU
1 - 0
ASN
41%
27%
31%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2002 |
ASB
1 - 1
LMU
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
LMU
1 - 0
NÎM
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
NIO
1 - 0
LMU
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
CAE
3 - 0
LUS
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
ASS
0 - 1
CAE
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 2
CAE
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
CAE
3 - 2
ASB
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
ASN
3 - 3
CAE
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |