Le Mans vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
ESW
1 - 0
LMU
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
LMU
1 - 2
SED
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1998 |
LMU
1 - 2
RED
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
GUI
1 - 1
LMU
52%
27%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
LMU
1 - 0
AMI
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
CAE
2 - 0
ASB
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
CAN
1 - 1
CAE
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1998 |
CAE
0 - 0
SED
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
CAE
3 - 1
NIO
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1998 |
ESW
0 - 0
CAE
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |