Le Mans vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
SED
1 - 2
LMU
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
LMU
1 - 1
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
LMU
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
LMU
1 - 0
LHA
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
FCG
0 - 0
LMU
33%
28%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 1
REI
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
LUS
3 - 1
CHA
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
BRU
4 - 0
CHA
73%
18%
10%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 1
CLE
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
AMI
2 - 2
CHA
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |