Le Mans II vs La Roche Vendée analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
12º
9º
48
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
20.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SNA
1 - 0
LEM
57%
21%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LEM
3 - 0
SCB
45%
22%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
LEM
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LEM
2 - 3
USS
31%
23%
47%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SPG
1 - 1
LEM
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
La Roche Vendée
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LRO
1 - 0
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LRO
1 - 1
SPG
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LRO
1 - 2
SAB
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LAV
0 - 0
LRO
58%
21%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LRO
2 - 2
CHA
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |