Le Mans II vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LEM
0 - 0
CAR
34%
28%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LEH
2 - 2
LEM
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
PLA
5 - 1
LEM
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAU
0 - 0
LEM
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LEM
1 - 1
CON
60%
23%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
CAE
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
LUC
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
VCH
1 - 1
LUC
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LUC
3 - 1
LEH
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LUC
0 - 0
PLA
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |