Le Mans II vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
12º
9º
37
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
20.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LEM
3 - 1
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LAV
3 - 4
LEM
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LEM
0 - 2
USS
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
LEM
4 - 0
SPG
67%
18%
16%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SAU
2 - 0
LEM
72%
17%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FON
0 - 0
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 1
FON
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FON
1 - 2
LPS
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SAB
1 - 3
FON
48%
23%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FON
2 - 1
LAV
31%
25%
45%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |