Le Mans II vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 0
LEM
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LEM
1 - 1
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
3 - 2
LEM
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LEM
2 - 2
PAC
31%
27%
41%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAE
3 - 0
LEM
36%
26%
37%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FON
0 - 2
LUC
19%
24%
56%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
VCH
0 - 1
FON
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FON
2 - 2
PLA
20%
26%
54%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
FON
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FON
0 - 3
AVR
23%
27%
50%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -2 |