Le Mans II vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
VCH
1 - 0
LEM
41%
25%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
LEM
4 - 1
MOU
37%
28%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
AVR
1 - 0
LEM
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LEM
1 - 2
LPS
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAE
3 - 4
LEM
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FON
0 - 0
LES
26%
27%
47%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
FON
49%
27%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FON
2 - 1
ROM
35%
26%
40%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LOR
5 - 1
FON
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FON
0 - 2
CHE
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |