Le Mans II vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEM
49%
26%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
LEM
0 - 1
LEH
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
LEM
2 - 3
SAU
38%
25%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 1
LEM
41%
27%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LEM
2 - 1
VCH
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 0
LUC
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
VCH
2 - 1
CAE
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CAE
3 - 1
PLA
26%
26%
48%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CON
2 - 2
CAE
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 1
AVR
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |