Marchfeld vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
EBR
3 - 1
MAN
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
WAI
1 - 1
MAN
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 2
GAF
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
KOT
2 - 0
MAN
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 2
LAN
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
WUR
2 - 0
GAF
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
KOT
5 - 2
WUR
44%
25%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
WUR
1 - 0
SPR
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 0
WUR
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
WUR
1 - 3
LEO
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |