Marchfeld vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
LAN
2 - 2
MAN
37%
24%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
LEO
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAD
4 - 1
MAN
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 3
KOT
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
ARD
2 - 0
MAN
29%
23%
49%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 1
WUR
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
WUR
3 - 1
KOT
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
STP
3 - 3
WUR
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
WUR
3 - 0
STP
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GOT
0 - 3
WUR
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |