Marchfeld vs First Vienna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
69.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
7 - 0
ASV
77%
15%
9%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
4 - 0
GER
85%
11%
5%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
FIR
80%
12%
8%
|
46 | 14 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 1
FAC
15%
20%
65%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
DON
1 - 0
MAN
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
VIE
0 - 0
MUN
51%
22%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
DON
1 - 3
VIE
22%
21%
57%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
KRE
2 - 1
VIE
12%
18%
70%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 3
VIE
15%
20%
65%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DON
1 - 5
VIE
5%
13%
82%
|
67 | 20 | 47 | 0 |