Marchfeld vs St. Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
11%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 3
MAN
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
KOT
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
GAF
2 - 2
MAN
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
ZWE
68%
18%
15%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 2
MAN
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
STP
2 - 2
SVS
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BAD
4 - 0
STP
63%
20%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
STP
2 - 1
WAI
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
OBE
3 - 0
STP
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
STP
2 - 0
SCH
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |